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an administrative comiitit, ted report presented to Council Munday night. The report. ‘Capital Ex- penditure Forecast'. was prepared by Jim Willis. commiesiorrer of works. Donald Schaefer. commis- ot2lttLg,ttttmtt,LLtLttytt cue-id- eal! m sinner of (tune and Ronald The City at Water-ho will Keeling. city clerk. my: the spend an estimated " committee is "eoet'eerated million in capital expendi- with the site a! the mum tures in 1m. according to tot mo and also the mat an administrative commit- thitt is to be denatured.” Is this Olympic material ? team began a rather unusual synchron- ized swimming ex- hibition this wee- kend at the 'Y's pool. Wearing pink swimming caps and moving in time to a popular rock tune. the lifeguards kept the small audience laughing "r'" or at least snickering. Also 'Y' lifeguard staff demonstrated various lifesaving methods for the crowd. such as how to remove a swim- mer with back in- juries from the pool. and how to ad- minister artificial re- With e shimmy and a shake these members of the We- Capital expenses to total $3-million The report goes on in say Mt,"as the cost ot borrow- ing has reached an all-time high for municipalities. every effort Should be made' to find alternative funding or possibly rescheduling ferta.iy proposed expendi~ Among the proposed u- pendimres are: ”million for the new Waterloo North Hydro service centre: 3200.000 for tire fighting equipment including $0.000 for a communication dis- patch centre and 8150.1!!! for a loo-{oat -aerial ladder truck: 8725.000 for trunk sewers aura pumping sta- tion: 8225.000 for a com- Profits from the sale are used to support variottrtoca1 awards programs. com- munity grams and for an emergency fund for needy female students at several high ritmitymomattt-Atttert meats. atahterdalelorappronl Mecdrmiee Arena: and All projects will be pre- and all must be mad t “a.” for local improve- sealed to Council separately the Omrio mammal . The Kitchener-Waterloo Branch if the Canadian Federtttioevot University Women will hold its 16th book sale onNMarch 28 and The ted6ratioet raised 86diht last year. an ingmge of 31.!!!) our the previous year. 'Game theory' at U W could resolve complex political problems "We think we are ready to look at many real world po- litical problems and come up with recommendations that will make a good deal of sense," Dr. Hipel said in a recent interview. Dr. Keith Hipel. an en- gineering professor in the department of systems de- sign at the University of Wa- terioo, said that while he doesn't presently have time to collect adequate data to carry out a thorough study. he does have a superior method for working out the answer. _ The method is a develop- ment of "game theory" which in turn is related to what mathematicians call a "set theory". It has to do with working out strategies that will ledd to optimum solutions to complex prob- lems. While game theory has been somewhat downs played lately. Hipel and Fraser say they have come up with some important im- provements. By Stuart Sutherland maid. not! who: How is the present Iranian hostage situation going to tum out? Hipel and a graduate stu- dent, Niall Fraser have been developing a method that they claim could be used to resolve any number of com- plex political problems. The work of Fraser and Hipel is based. to a con- Dr. Keith Hipei. Univereity of Waterloo enginaering professor and Niall Fraser leeotad). Graduate student, take a preliminary look at thlnt'l hoo- tage controversy using a method they have recently doveloood analyzing Boqtiatetottmttn. Dr. HipelpointatoaClAprepondmopoflran whiletha computer terminal diepleye raaulta of Mr enalyaia. University women hold book sale siderable extent, on re- search done at UW several years ago by Dr. Nigel Ho- ward, a former engineering professor. “Initially. we were strict- ly concerned about en- gineering aspects of large scale projects such as the James Bay power develop- ment in northern Quebec." Fraser said. “But these days, when one works on a problem of that magnitude one inevitably finds there are not only engineering problems to be solved. there are also economic problems - because the thing has to be cost effective; there are environmental problems. and there are also political What they need is some tool for assessing the poli- tical implications of their overall planning. This has resulted in a whole new ap- proach to dealing with poli- tical ism....a whole new approach to resolving con- flicts between individuals and groups in society, ac- cording to Fraser. The first stage in their conflict analysis involves identifying all the par- ticipants in any given situa- tion. These are called the "piayers". In asimple si- tuation. the players might be two children quarreling over a cookie. In the Iranian situation, there are various American political groups. ”In Miamwm, that S, IM- hp: schools. Conestoga College. the University of Valerian and Wilfrid Lapier University. A special children's sale will be held at ' 3.9 the teemyt day. " The book sale_will run from noon until to p.m. Friday and ' am. to 11 am. Saturday at Hilliard Hall. First United Church. King and William Sta. in Waterloo. "you Want to donate books or records call we or 885-4234. . the American public. the Ayatollah, various groups in Iran,' the Shah. the Soviet Union, the oil purchasing countries. the Muslim world. Hipel said. Hipel and Fraser make use of other concepts includ- ing "options'.' (Which are the paths of action open to each player), "strategies" (which are the ways in which the options are select- ed). and "outcomes", "per- ferences". “unilateral im- provemertt" and “equili- brium". Each player in any given controversy tends to seek a unilateral improve- ment in his or her position. but usually with regard for the sanctions others may be able to impose in return, Hipel suggested. Hipel and Fraser believe President Jimmy Carter has several options open to him at any given moment and can be expected to choose according to the de- terrent other players can exert in their efforts to stop him. "We do what we call a 'stability analysis' for every possible outcome for each player," said Hipel. ‘f1hen we look for the intergec- tions-the points at which compromises become pos- sible. From these we find we can predict what the pos- sible solutions are. For some of the more complex (Continued on page 4)